Iceland Volcano: Ground Uplift and Magma Accumulation Continue Beneath Svartsengi

 Protective barriers surrounding the Svartsengi area in early November 2024. (Photo: The Icelandic Met Office / Bjarki Kaldalóns Friis)

ICELAND MET OFFICE

Updated 14 January at 15:05

• Seismic activity remains relatively low

• Latest data suggests that the  likelihood of magma intrusion and potentially an eruption will increase end of January

• Updated hazard assessment valid until January 28, 2025, unless conditions change

Land uplift in the Svartsengi area continues at a similar rate to previous weeks. By the end of January or beginning of February, the likelihood of an eruption starts to increase, as model calculations indicate that approximately 12 million cubic meters of magma will have accumulated beneath Svartsengi by that time. The models are based on estimated magma inflow rates, but minor changes in inflow could impact the estimated timing of the next eruption.

Seismic activity around Svartsengi remains low, similar to recent weeks.

The Icelandic Meteorological Office hazard assessment has been updated with no changes made. It remains valid, barring any changes, until January 28.

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